Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1fb10d7f1f131e35a8d58772540437e1305b4ed5b710b2bc65354bf025bb927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x832d…d420backed No | 64c | 35,039$22,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,543.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 34c | 19,848$6,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,018.26 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 32c | 15,646$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,716.38 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 28c | 14,287$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,352.54 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 44c | 13,887$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,095.14 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 59c | 13,474$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.89 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…da0abacked No | 58c | 12,390$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,221.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 31c | 8,500$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.7 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked No | 57c | 7,583$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.98 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 25c | 7,280$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.87 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 38c | 7,267$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.17 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 34c | 6,695$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 55c | 6,232$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.06 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.97 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…da22backed Yes | 29c | 3,447$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 49c | 2,999$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.3 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…4eb6backed Yes | 33c | 2,229$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 22c | 2,190$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.76 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 41c | 2,083$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.86 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…cec9backed Yes | 30c | 1,999$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.46 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +8.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…af58backed No | 44c | 1,782$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,729$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.93 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,400$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…1795backed No | 62c | 1,393$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,194$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.09 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…1602backed No | 75c | 1,061$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 42c | 1,050$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 52c | 889.21$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.87 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 877.34$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.34 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed Yes | 36c | 800$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 80c | 750.73$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed No | 79c | 750$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed Yes | 26c | 750$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 21c | 681.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.33per pick | 14cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 20c | 575.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.55 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 30c | 460.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a58…3464backed Yes | 36c | 433.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 39c | 374.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +341.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…1537backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 49c | 290.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed Yes | 21c | 240$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e10…19fcbacked No | 73c | 217.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 35c | 215.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 20c | 198.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…9c2dbacked No | 68c | 175.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…7ce5backed Yes | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 26c | 125.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…7181backed Yes | 61c | 121.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…eb5ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 77c | 98.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 51c | 96.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed No | 28c | 87.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…a388backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 61c | 80.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…5adabacked Yes | 31c | 78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…39ecbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…339ebacked Yes | 28c | 69.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…bcecbacked Yes | 29c | 69.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…5bd0backed Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +240.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…b094backed No | 63c | 65.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 35c | 57.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 27c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…60ebbacked No | 48c | 52.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…2f88backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 61c | 45.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…8bb9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…de17backed Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 59c | 26.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…7ff7backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.