Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c4a61d697c6dee2d80c51fc2789008860c9921b75779517537dcadd7b04680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 0c | 135,000$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 24c | 20,426$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,426 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 17,887$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,569.39 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 73c | 14,120$10,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,302.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 47c | 13,957$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.46 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 26c | 13,437$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,877.68 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Yes | 24c | 12,660$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,640.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 19c | 11,009$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.91 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 68c | 11,000$7,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,465 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 69c | 10,587$7,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.68 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 22c | 9,926$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,754.21 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…0de1backed Yes | 22c | 9,725$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,585.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +238.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 23c | 7,879$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.91 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.97 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 77c | 6,858$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.18 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 30c | 6,453$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.87 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 78c | 6,409$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 76c | 3,400$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…c59fbacked No | 10c | 3,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 24c | 2,695$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.37 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 75c | 2,100$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.65 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…cec9backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +8.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 11c | 1,281$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 14c | 1,225$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.9 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…e30fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,060$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,010$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.04 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 80c | 999.7$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 14c | 985.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.33per pick | 14cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 76c | 900$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 20c | 896.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.53 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 76c | 850$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 29c | 786.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.35 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc100…70ebbacked Yes | 15c | 663.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 600$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 77c | 430$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 69c | 399.71$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed Yes | 12c | 355.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Yes | 80c | 337.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 76c | 330$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…141bbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd0…178dbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +1,971.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 19c | 276$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +341.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 78c | 275.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 250.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 18c | 249.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…438dbacked Yes | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 23c | 199.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…807cbacked No | 76c | 196.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 19c | 180.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed No | 64c | 180$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…c92bbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 22c | 174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed No | 18c | 166.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 68c | 151$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…4444backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…f319backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +104%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4640…7137backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +108%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 32c | 120.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…c6a8backed No | 78c | 114.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 80c | 111$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 24c | 89.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…2508backed Yes | 12c | 80.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…51eebacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 32c | 57.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…ec91backed No | 61c | 56.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…e53cbacked No | 69c | 55.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 64c | 49.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 78c | 47.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…bec6backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…60ebbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…33d5backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.