Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbadc6cd0d0ea4a71e3cab24b4856311a5720866c2a62d805f2aeb1ddd0dba990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,245,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,449,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47ff…6f07backed Yes | 4c | 70,549$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 9c | 59,126$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.69 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 50,010$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.16 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…949abacked Yes | 15c | 29,007$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 24,657$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 21,597$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.64 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…5d0abacked Yes | 15c | 17,578$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 17,429$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.59 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 14,800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 11,887$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.45 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 7c | 10,386$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…08e4backed Yes | 6c | 8,819$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 2c | 6,913$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…f947backed Yes | 0c | 5,788$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 8c | 5,490$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.61 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…7bb2backed Yes | 4c | 5,012$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…def8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,372$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.22 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ecd4backed Yes | 7c | 4,200$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…a452backed Yes | 3c | 3,838$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…fa84backed Yes | 0c | 3,688$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 1c | 3,408$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…fc98backed Yes | 0c | 3,401$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…9b20backed Yes | 0c | 3,226$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 4c | 3,189$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 3,054$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…119dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 4c | 2,839$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,290$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.33per pick | 14cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…6257backed Yes | 1c | 2,285$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,161$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…6cf5backed Yes | 0c | 2,027$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 10c | 2,020$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…80f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,997$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 11c | 1,952$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…d6f3backed Yes | 5c | 1,910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 3c | 1,891$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 10c | 1,800$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…6abebacked Yes | 6c | 1,730$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 12c | 1,724$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,693$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,692$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 9c | 1,683$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,615$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,531$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…90e2backed Yes | 6c | 1,257$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1007…82bcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,228$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,226$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,219$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…f760backed Yes | 1c | 1,128$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…43d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…aef8backed Yes | 1c | 1,068$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…5352backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…52d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,061$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f072backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…c795backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…438dbacked Yes | 5c | 998.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…d0a6backed Yes | 5c | 921.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 9c | 862.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 2c | 795.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…c6cdbacked Yes | 2c | 747.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f5…998dbacked Yes | 7c | 735.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked Yes | 7c | 715.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked Yes | 6c | 602.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…d6e4backed Yes | 2c | 601.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 538.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b6…659abacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…6680backed Yes | 4c | 459$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…c5dbbacked Yes | 5c | 415.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…45efbacked Yes | 6c | 330.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…11d0backed Yes | 8c | 253.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…a8c9backed Yes | 9c | 205.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa869…5b41backed Yes | 10c | 200.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…74d7backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…d95bbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…55e9backed Yes | 12c | 182.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…f294backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 11c | 175.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked Yes | 9c | 162.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…e3c8backed Yes | 10c | 142.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…a2a6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.