Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e73d2f118e87fc15df7cf736172737f0b82b7ec6ca6a24cd67ae341ed760fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,617,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,614,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,617,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 2,709,777$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860.66 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 1,795,522$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…b2e7backed Yes | 0c | 671,341$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 647,394$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.06 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 0c | 401,420$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 299,995$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 206,998$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 206,051$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…7415backed Yes | 1c | 200,346$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…3af7backed Yes | 0c | 144,559$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…acdcbacked Yes | 0c | 131,912$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 119,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…21cdbacked Yes | 0c | 116,750$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 105,227$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.87 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bc0backed Yes | 1c | 104,374$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.27 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…5a20backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…fca5backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…f0d9backed Yes | 1c | 97,589$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…773dbacked Yes | 0c | 89,813$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…ad8fbacked Yes | 1c | 82,748$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ecd4backed Yes | 1c | 79,431$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…be35backed Yes | 0c | 74,841$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 72,028$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…3a92backed Yes | 1c | 58,644$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…7a81backed Yes | 1c | 54,164$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…a287backed Yes | 1c | 52,154$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb10…84dabacked Yes | 0c | 50,667$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…141bbacked Yes | 1c | 45,074$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…9f9abacked Yes | 0c | 43,649$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…6f97backed Yes | 0c | 42,600$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…2a10backed Yes | 1c | 40,872$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,638$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…e618backed Yes | 1c | 36,725$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…640fbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…9baabacked Yes | 0c | 29,999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…5e28backed Yes | 0c | 26,395$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…12dfbacked Yes | 0c | 21,730$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…bc90backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 2c | 20,806$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…e3edbacked Yes | 1c | 20,624$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 20,194$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…a70ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,972$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…a3a6backed Yes | 1c | 19,074$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…ff16backed Yes | 1c | 18,475$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 1c | 18,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…4c30backed Yes | 1c | 16,712$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…8585backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 1c | 15,174$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 1c | 14,255$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…aa74backed Yes | 1c | 14,053$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…fda0backed Yes | 0c | 13,913$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +226.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…5860backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 12,049$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,497$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…ca90backed Yes | 0c | 11,333$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 11,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,872$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…5a92backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…e05dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…4c85backed Yes | 1c | 9,839$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,652$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 1c | 9,632$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…b099backed Yes | 1c | 8,718$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…c8efbacked Yes | 1c | 8,334$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…f8bdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,838$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937c…ac0bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…14eabacked Yes | 0c | 7,260$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…3ef7backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…72aebacked Yes | 1c | 6,900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…f53ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…368fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…cb45backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 15cpaid | +2,527.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…5438backed Yes | 1c | 6,067$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…b5ecbacked Yes | 0c | 6,039$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…55b9backed Yes | 1c | 5,900$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,886$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…f147backed Yes | 1c | 5,838$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…3cd4backed Yes | 0c | 5,555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…b717backed Yes | 1c | 5,428$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7bc7backed Yes | 1c | 5,018$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…301abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…a88cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.