Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88bc3d9afd1350305251fb3a8000349872d90c7f2d67fc686c12372d4d6f850a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,135,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,870,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,135,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 17c | 236,670$41,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,213.87 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…fca5backed Yes | 0c | 199,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 19c | 117,087$21,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,724.53 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 77c | 73,940$57,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,903.42 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Yes | 6c | 64,947$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 31c | 64,492$19,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,675.88 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 28c | 63,052$17,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,544.79 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 4c | 60,341$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.35 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 65c | 58,567$38,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,373.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 21c | 51,443$10,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,644.28 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…c348backed Yes | 4c | 49,342$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 74c | 48,096$35,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,389.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 77c | 47,580$36,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,125.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 14c | 42,720$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.65 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…cf95backed Yes | 3c | 42,449$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 1c | 41,810$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 5c | 39,170$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.45 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…accebacked Yes | 21c | 38,254$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,009.91 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 34c | 36,272$12,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,231.84 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 73c | 35,677$25,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,802.97 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,750$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea9…d8e9backed Yes | 2c | 27,864$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 65c | 26,368$17,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100.48 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 25,365$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.49 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 24,611$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.59 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…6c9dbacked Yes | 6c | 22,692$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 24c | 21,888$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 8c | 21,430$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.94 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…00f8backed Yes | 2c | 20,517$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…2d73backed Yes | 0c | 19,877$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 70c | 18,050$12,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 28c | 18,014$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.95 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 3c | 18,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.31 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 33c | 17,036$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5578backed Yes | 2c | 15,412$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…7395backed No | 80c | 14,182$11,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked Yes | 20c | 14,040$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed No | 72c | 13,708$9,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 20c | 13,581$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…88a6backed Yes | 13c | 13,420$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…aa32backed Yes | 14c | 13,002$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 12,859$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Yes | 9c | 11,457$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…e857backed Yes | 1c | 11,453$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…f46dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,123$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 74c | 11,000$8,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 0c | 10,123$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…fb82backed Yes | 0c | 10,015$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d8…86aabacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 18c | 9,894$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 10c | 9,861$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 19c | 9,823$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 56c | 9,596$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…d32ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,173$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 3c | 9,003$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 23c | 8,921$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 29c | 8,623$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…59a0backed Yes | 15c | 8,619$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 12c | 8,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…d271backed Yes | 1c | 8,340$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 26c | 8,245$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 8,229$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.9 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 7,970$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 7,080$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 9c | 7,078$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.31 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…04cebacked Yes | 12c | 7,000$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 37c | 6,882$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…119dbacked Yes | 31c | 6,837$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe96…94d5backed Yes | 12c | 6,368$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…586fbacked Yes | 27c | 6,248$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 26c | 6,100$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.99 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 10c | 6,027$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.86 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 6,023$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885c…d9e4backed No | 74c | 5,992$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 14c | 5,871$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…1795backed Yes | 19c | 5,756$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…84f3backed Yes | 10c | 5,717$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 79c | 5,683$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.49 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…f947backed Yes | 2c | 5,533$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 18c | 5,469$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 7c | 5,459$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.12 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 24c | 5,219$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.94 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…b9a8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed Yes | 28c | 4,858$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…7bb2backed Yes | 14c | 4,783$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 4,739$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 6c | 4,638$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…85f3backed Yes | 5c | 4,613$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 26c | 4,452$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.28 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…4eb6backed Yes | 33c | 4,439$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 2c | 4,358$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…b56ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,240$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…cc95backed Yes | 2c | 4,194$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.