TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e12…1c24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.05
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$297.21
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.6
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$2,400
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+30.8%+$1,014.12
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$98.9
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$680
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,246.08
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$1,329.9
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$507.2
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26%+$5,207.25
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,099.06
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,067Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3,012.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,340.12
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$744.29
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16,119.07
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+101%+$2,198.32
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31,449Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$15,489.63
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+204.7%+$8,455.22
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$314.96
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.7%+$723.35
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,502Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$3,505.38
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$264.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,628
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,662.58
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$257.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$720
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$752.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,893Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.5%+$2,582.55
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$402.68
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$160.56
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$354.81
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$103.56
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$771.53
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+145%+$600.51
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$590.29
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$994
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$297.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,360.26
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,564.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,985Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+30.7%+$915
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,298.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.