TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No37c54,397$19,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,877.634,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes56c15,000$8,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.417248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No45c11,882$5,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,346.788957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c9,928$5,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,296.9390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No44c9,176$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.3510438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes54c7,800$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5883452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes53c6,548$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No47c6,331$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.023930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No44c5,756$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.791770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c4,972$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes54c4,801$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.0730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes49c4,000$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0303452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes46c3,219$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.846160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes54c2,946$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf65…3129backed Yes53c2,346$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No45c2,313$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.796836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes55c2,161$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Yes47c2,131$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.74560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes46c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes45c1,999$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.458142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.793145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c1,839$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.0850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes55c1,822$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.843964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6251…96d3backed Yes46c1,811$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes57c1,759$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.610250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes54c1,550$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.079347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae4e…67e2backed Yes52c1,469$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No38c1,446$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes58c1,413$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.4421842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes52c1,349$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.567045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes48c1,255$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.051540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes54c1,163$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.182166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes52c1,157$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.422360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes54c1,149$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.236753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes53c1,029$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.752951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No46c994.97$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.6914244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes54c863$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9814067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x381e…3f00backed No46c850$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3765448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd4…2c2fbacked Yes55c770$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes54c739.55$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No46c729.73$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.834959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes54c724.07$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.071250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes54c712.78$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8813045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes56c712.69$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.697550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes47c704.26$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.262433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes54c699.98$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes55c685.98$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c676.8$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c85…cb03backed Yes55c670$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes55c664.47$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.011080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4141546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…27b1backed Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb9…41ecbacked No46c590$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes56c579.29$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.633020%6 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No44c569.98$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.793339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Yes53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.044634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes56c553.57$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.572650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes33c522.82$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes37c509.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.792737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes46c500$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2691435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23511947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes41c484.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.397853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c483.65$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c434.35$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.061,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No44c359$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf90f…8296backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No46c337.85$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4129545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No46c327.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes55c326.49$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4920047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No45c310.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No46c302.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1592268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No47c298.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.539629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No53c293.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.353036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes55c291$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9548934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes53c273.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c269.7$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No48c268.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes54c264.81$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes49c261.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…932abacked Yes54c260.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No52c248.81$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c241.46$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9325872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No43c235$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.28939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes53c225.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.14240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No45c220.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.915051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes52c219.39$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.