La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33288d1ac83bd8d463b918e13e1b78028fe9a121d408f82224ca4883efeb554e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 10,414$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 4,743$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.56 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 4,174$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.86 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 1,395$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 995.77$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 61c | 813.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 560.22$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 398.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.71 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 10c | 383.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 259.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 28c | 218.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 150.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 137.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 58c | 120.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d87…3cadbacked Yes | 28c | 106.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 106.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 22c | 93.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…739ebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 63c | 46.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 39c | 44.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…a303backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 72c | 14.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…d185backed No | 74c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.