TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3303…03af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72%+$79.16
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$78.72
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+95.4%+$33.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.9%+$234.12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$559
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+267.2%+$221.72
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+95.3%+$14.29
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+32.2%+$38.61
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+87.1%+$17.41
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+63%+$12.6
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+45.9%+$32.12
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.2%+$8.45
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+75.1%+$15.02
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+142.3%+$35.57
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+57.5%+$23
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.6%+$68.05
Will Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$37.65
Will Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+70.5%+$63.43
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+292.9%+$58.57
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+68.7%+$10.31
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+27.1%+$22.81
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$18.54
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.54
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$7
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104.52
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+208.9%+$74.28
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+40.2%+$140.74
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+62.4%+$98.53
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+59.5%+$20.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.3%+$18.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)backed Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Temple vs. Armybacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs K27 (BO3)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed Betera Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.