TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4991…5ecdbacked Yes43c20,428$8,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,548.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No29c16,832$4,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,833.537354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes43c11,623$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,625.153650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No52c11,390$5,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,927.1511354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes73c9,609$6,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.9329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No56c9,053$5,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.171593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No57c7,867$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,467.055538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes44c7,489$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.011136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c5,846$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No56c5,221$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.2724732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c3,926$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.651,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c3,435$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked No18c2,999$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…4aafbacked No56c2,370$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes44c2,363$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.1417048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4500…e6e1backed Yes44c2,279$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes44c2,266$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.0574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No56c2,173$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.648940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Yes43c2,100$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1971060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12031945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12013235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c1,995$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.8876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No9c1,850$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.845024%12 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0082055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No57c1,766$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes72c1,500$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed No30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes42c1,200$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9723622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No57c1,188$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.3716331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes43c1,076$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3828133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5707740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No56c999.95$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.979324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed No56c983.93$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No55c969.26$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6522959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c817.56$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.041,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No57c812.76$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes73c727.05$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2528731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes73c681.46$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.993633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes74c664.44$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9413843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Yes75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes44c497.55$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.635154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes32c494.28$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No22c478.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes56c458.23$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.352025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No56c448.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes46c436.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe409…4c39backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes80c405$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.831952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca6…0d08backed Yes78c401.22$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed No56c358.57$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed No58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.336056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No12c321.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed No57c300$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16818433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes44c299.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9922749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes42c299.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes43c299.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked No55c280.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c277.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No54c259.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6710452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes78c239.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.481030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes44c236.36$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3616965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad64…65efbacked Yes71c229.17$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d1…8437backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+95.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked No43c225.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No42c225.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.984112.2%5 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes45c221.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.141080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes75c213$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.731,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No56c212.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes68c200$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652070%14 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes46c186.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.966473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Yes78c184.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No11c178.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f2…118bbacked No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No34c175$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.818641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed No58c173.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes70c169$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.75070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5309…1975backed No32c167.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked No30c165.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes50c160.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.443033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb32e…3932backed Yes77c157$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.532629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No34c145.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes72c143.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0522466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…132fbacked Yes74c135.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked No15c135.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No55c133.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.699752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3113…9943backed No32c132.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No57c131.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.553641.7%15 W · 21 L-7.9wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Yes77c130.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c117$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.230031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.