TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2de…6e5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$117.88
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$89.53
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$99.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.05
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.34
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.7
LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.75
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$333.75
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$214.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$501.35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$198.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+48.4%+$290.53
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$500
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Bulldog Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$571.43
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$54.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75.11
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$35.29
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$40.99
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.5
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500.64
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$240.34
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$123.95
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$225.09
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.39
Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$251.21
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$295.3
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bulls vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$99.96
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+43.3%+$108.43
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$73.26
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$203.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$302.79
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$245.67
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$89.3
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.7%+$209.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$51.88
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$102.27
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+91.3%+$958.93
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+62.6%+$282.77
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+43.6%+$395
Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$600.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.78
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$96.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.5%+$863.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$159.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.