Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c6c1da36411b1f90e795457e373584f6badbb5dcd2b0de8d9db6657b9e4249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 75c | 53,464$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,464.28 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 25c | 37,105$9,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,276.28 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 75c | 26,769$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.13 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 9,919$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.55 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 25c | 9,909$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.8 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 26c | 6,696$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.08 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 5,490$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 2,356$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 78c | 1,289$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.26 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 68c | 732.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 13c | 684.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 68c | 586.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 6c | 378.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Under | 70c | 358.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 9c | 311.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 24c | 300.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 71c | 263.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 261.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 26c | 225$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 23c | 207$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 6c | 199.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 5c | 197.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Under | 76c | 158.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 29c | 150.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 24c | 142.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 12c | 124$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 29c | 100.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 27c | 93.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 26c | 92.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 27c | 74.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 19c | 68.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Under | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…de56backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…8be2backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 66c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.