Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf851205988ea041425614cc67e1b225af8a78126a5d52d1ae6e8b13556efdbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 17,431$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 11,378$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 55c | 3,635$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 883.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 21c | 311.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 29c | 306.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 68c | 306.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 67c | 259.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 79c | 251.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 232.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed No | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 64c | 150.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 121.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed No | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a4…e909backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed Yes | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 67c | 97.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 32c | 83.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 56c | 71.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…3e28backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 21c | 52.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 56c | 43.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 27c | 41.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 61c | 40.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…f2f3backed No | 67c | 39.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 40c | 38.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…f566backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 64c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked Yes | 78c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 67c | 27.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked No | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 45c | 24.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…8282backed Yes | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 59c | 23.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked No | 55c | 21.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Yes | 79c | 21.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked Yes | 62c | 20.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Yes | 65c | 20.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 67c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.