TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a52…45e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+84.6%+$84.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.3%+$85.32
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.5%+$85.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Egypt vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26.8%+$26.75
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+27.1%+$27.13
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+32.1%+$32.11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.4%+$49.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.34
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.94
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
PAOK vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will AEK win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$23.75
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.