TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c27,804$19,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,237.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c7,283$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.72,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c5,281$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.781,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes31c5,109$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.917754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes29c5,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c4,404$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.692,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes32c4,306$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.7979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c4,050$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes32c3,100$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98517833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No65c2,509$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.089358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.686354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c2,100$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.021,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071b…b44cbacked No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Yes29c1,964$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.652646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52812055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes4c1,375$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick18cpaid+224.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes31c1,229$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No66c1,194$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1914456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c1,159$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.331,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes32c1,133$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes33c1,111$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c999.98$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c5…168dbacked Yes67c960.64$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed No73c938.92$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed No71c906.98$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.232181%17 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+97.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes30c840$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes32c800.01$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9131053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c773.81$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes30c740$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked No68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.294060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No70c732.33$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes33c670.52$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.274643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No66c606$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0425648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes30c560.24$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5120246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145933.3%3 W · 6 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No24c483.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.317138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes12c476.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.391,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes31c430$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.314342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No65c416.38$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.95149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes33c406.2$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes34c399.83$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9413641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c394.94$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7132453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes30c351.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5422229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No69c333.06$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3933753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked No71c327.04$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.842250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10517337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes33c224.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0615748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No68c219.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c215$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2714043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12069772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Yes35c202.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.416344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes34c197.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No63c197.05$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes36c170.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4918929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed Yes55c170.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No70c169$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.718052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes12c167.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes33c162.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7613847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No71c160.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No75c154.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes30c146.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8514844.6%66 W · 82 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…a12fbacked Yes36c139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes37c135.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes37c135.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No29c135$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c134.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.91,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes28c132.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.031346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes47c121.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Yes31c116.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed No66c110.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes25c109.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes35c101$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20db…a0f2backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc96c…625ebacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x756c…66c7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No70c99.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9512954.3%70 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes22c84.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5413132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No68c82.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1922658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.