TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No69c6,134$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c4,824$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.016,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c4,047$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.734,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c3,797$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.592,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c3,759$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.941,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8dc…19a5backed Yes30c3,303$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd6…400ebacked Yes30c3,087$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c2,983$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.91,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No60c1,748$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48012055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4b3…2c58backed No70c1,251$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c1,212$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.2490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No69c1,209$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.672365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2fb2…7535backed No70c1,176$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…d927backed No70c1,118$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Yes3c1,110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ae…35e5backed No70c1,032$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c1,011$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.192,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No70c938$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.421253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa293…91dfbacked No70c934$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…43c6backed No70c879$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Yes30c799.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No65c704.05$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes14c631.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7613132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No69c531.57$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.795052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b28…aa68backed Yes40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c445.16$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.551,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes31c444.07$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c438.55$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes31c403.36$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.041040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+99.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No70c397.14$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes17c347.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No70c346.49$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No76c338$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-65.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes30c330.73$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61a7…f58abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932412.5%3 W · 21 L-8.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-62%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9917748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Yes17c292.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes31c280.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes31c238.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c235.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.731,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf44d…68acbacked Yes29c170.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.453735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes35c162.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes31c161.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.996240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No65c153.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8573458.6%430 W · 304 L+47.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes32c150.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c142.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c141.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d78…7defbacked No70c140.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No61c137.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.456258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes31c110.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3220246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x870f…a050backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes29c99.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.791520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes31c98.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes56c94.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.882832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No78c84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4824146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f95…d67dbacked No79c82.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes29c80.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes31c76.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8616136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6e…8d23backed Yes31c67.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c66.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2030050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010753.3%57 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bac…f4d3backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e2…e9b4backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3b…6685backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0548…77c2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes32c62.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes30c57.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2122658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7643…80cbbacked Yes32c54.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-77.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.