TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,875,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,926,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,875,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes41c3,165,037$1,297,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867,502.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No59c609,963$359,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359,878.1227750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No59c500,000$295,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No59c400,000$236,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,0005651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No59c292,902$172,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,812.185556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No59c290,555$171,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,427.4515344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c211,603$136,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,853.246,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No59c162,000$95,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,58015049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c94,635$56,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,256.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c87,586$51,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,982.542,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No59c83,640$49,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,347.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No59c81,199$47,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,907.413450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No59c64,128$37,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,835.526142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked No59c60,000$35,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,40020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,499.887750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdef9…2d16backed Yes39c43,609$16,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,737.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c42,756$25,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,512.561,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No59c40,000$23,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,6005547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No0c35,400$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.44323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes41c32,522$13,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,313.4130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8002774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No61c19,262$11,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,817.4124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c16,797$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,563.184,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c15,978$9,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,430.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c14,869$8,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,772.821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No59c13,430$7,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,923.713444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed No60c13,333$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce5…9ce1backed No75c11,528$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes39c11,369$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,984.242218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No59c10,495$6,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,192.043548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes38c10,028$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.352927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7469…cbc5backed Yes37c10,007$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,304.131145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2002250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No63c9,500$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.9315748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No62c9,000$5,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5807754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No61c8,745$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,334.631926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c7,245$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.732,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No59c6,888$4,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.923759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54046551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39a…2963backed No60c6,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No59c5,708$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.7811346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c5,500$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No61c5,213$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.9214254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No60c5,011$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9505949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes38c4,901$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.4136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed No59c4,851$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.025754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes36c4,501$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8761,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c4,217$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.881,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No61c4,126$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3603053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x285e…c2f4backed No64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+112.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No59c3,960$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.255850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No64c3,622$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.599358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked No60c3,240$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9444047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No60c3,227$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.8339948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c3,209$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.551,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7702832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c2,848$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.491,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Yes39c2,700$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.991457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes36c2,690$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.641437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.583250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No64c2,500$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60514147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed No61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5252181%17 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+97.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.022433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No60c2,368$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.7139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c2,242$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.3890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No63c2,222$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes41c2,200$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked No60c1,981$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes41c1,951$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.222133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No59c1,902$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes41c1,829$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.279250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes40c1,794$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Yes37c1,692$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.384161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No59c1,640$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.69849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked No62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No61c1,569$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.3533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c1,525$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.5877236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8859845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes41c1,400$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8263834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes37c1,390$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.7668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No66c1,372$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.7814456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes79c1,324$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.763941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes35c1,271$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.9810426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes33c1,202$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.092462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.