TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb763…247d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+62.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,300
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.96
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$760.53
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+254.2%+$2,358.06
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$184.68
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$290
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$938.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$540
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+93.7%+$1,058.07
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$61.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+257.1%+$2,879.98
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+263.6%+$1,449.97
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$98.95
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$224.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+185.3%+$579.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$670
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$193.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+172.7%+$1,900
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+62%+$2,680
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,380
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$990
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.2%+$360
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,670
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$960
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$920
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,160
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$760
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,079.97
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,130
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$5,027.26
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14,250
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$632.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+140.1%+$8,169.97
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+400%+$799.99
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+267%+$5,820
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$770
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$81.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,800
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$430
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$630
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+476.9%+$2,480
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,540
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+106.2%+$1,030
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$103.2
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,640
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+178.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$84.24
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$620
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$123.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.