TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,750 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under0c7,240$25 inLost-$24.7489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Under51c440.51$225 inLost-$224.662060%12 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+62.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under51c420.41$214 inLost-$214.411,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Under38c265.61$101 inLost-$100.9317357.8%100 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon+$104.0835545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…20ebbacked Over60c200$120 inWon+$803336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over49c111$54 inWon+$56.6129927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under54c102.78$55 inLost-$5547951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.0415862.7%99 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.042420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under40c101.82$41 inLost-$40.8250643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over48c92.67$44 inWon+$48.353955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under49c89.35$44 inLost-$43.7839044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77aa…5e60backed Over51c79.35$40 inWon+$38.881827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under62c70$44 inLost-$43.61,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c52.85$20 inLost-$20.0485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon+$26.022740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon+$26.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under40c43.17$17 inLost-$17.277735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6247…9a13backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.821553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa6…c296backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.821323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over49c39.94$20 inWon+$20.378355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over80c39.47$31 inWon+$7.9915155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over65c37.2$24 inWon+$13.295551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.349346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over56c27.97$16 inWon+$12.3959952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.