TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Anyone's Legend, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,534 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Anyone's Legend0c3,682$12 inLost-$12.4689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming59c2,589$1,528 inWon+$1,061.5754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Anyone's Legend41c2,439$1,000 inLost-$1,00021939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming61c422$257 inWon+$164.81,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Anyone's Legend39c422$165 inLost-$165.0267549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…241dbacked Anyone's Legend6c211$12 inLost-$11.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Anyone's Legend38c208.48$79 inLost-$79.2224529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked JD Gaming62c160.1$99 inWon+$60.8417357.8%100 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Anyone's Legend39c153.85$60 inLost-$601844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming61c148.85$91 inWon+$58.051,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Anyone's Legend41c146.34$60 inLost-$6022350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked JD Gaming64c39.35$25 inWon+$14.351,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Anyone's Legend40c27$11 inLost-$10.82040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf932…1ba3backed JD Gaming62c24.19$15 inWon+$9.192751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed JD Gaming60c22$13 inWon+$8.89748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.