NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceeeada82ed2bef926122d33af22523058ae27ef56a7d05a175ecd3396fed34b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,708,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,687,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,708,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 611,644$275,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275,239.71 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 355,943$164,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,642.06 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hornets | 55c | 349,589$192,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,314.9 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Hornets | 55c | 103,510$56,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,579.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets | 55c | 90,909$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,909.05 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 55c | 89,562$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,562.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Hornets | 46c | 65,494$29,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,510.68 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets | 53c | 60,000$31,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,149.96 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 52c | 58,986$30,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,170.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Hornets | 53c | 53,893$28,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,378.56 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hornets | 52c | 53,451$27,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,656.4 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hornets | 56c | 51,900$29,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,595 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 52c | 50,324$26,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,368.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 51c | 50,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…572fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Hornets | 49c | 39,673$19,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,233.17 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Hornets | 50c | 32,843$16,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,427.42 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 52c | 31,655$16,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,352.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 50c | 28,854$14,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,555.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 52c | 28,314$14,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,647.75 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hornets | 53c | 28,159$15,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,135.7 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 44c | 27,099$12,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,072.13 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…eadbbacked Nuggets | 42c | 22,599$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,534.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 51c | 21,119$10,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,286.86 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Nuggets | 47c | 21,000$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,949.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nuggets | 2c | 20,194$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.19 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 41c | 20,000$8,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133.79 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Nuggets | 18c | 19,618$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets | 1c | 19,243$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hornets | 54c | 18,873$10,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,612.13 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Hornets | 69c | 18,670$12,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.73 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 54c | 18,502$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 16,000$7,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,626.66 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 70c | 15,158$10,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Nuggets | 47c | 15,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hornets | 52c | 14,225$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,827.82 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Hornets | 44c | 13,126$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308.88 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 48c | 13,025$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742.03 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Nuggets | 54c | 13,015$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.08 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Nuggets | 45c | 13,000$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Nuggets | 48c | 12,693$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.8 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Nuggets | 0c | 12,171$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 59c | 11,774$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Nuggets | 57c | 11,190$6,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,428.78 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Hornets | 64c | 11,038$7,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.35 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,537$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.43 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nuggets | 15c | 10,500$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Nuggets | 0c | 10,440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Hornets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Hornets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 54c | 10,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.83 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nuggets | 0c | 9,906$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hornets | 51c | 9,630$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.33 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 48c | 8,903$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…1574backed Nuggets | 13c | 8,799$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.93 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Hornets | 74c | 8,548$6,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.44 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…628dbacked Hornets | 48c | 7,975$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Hornets | 55c | 7,926$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.79 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 7,906$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.95 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Nuggets | 45c | 7,704$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.27 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…5625backed Nuggets | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Hornets | 49c | 7,592$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.66 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 74c | 7,502$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.7 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 6,984$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Nuggets | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,585$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Hornets | 57c | 6,397$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.67 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nuggets | 0c | 6,259$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Hornets | 56c | 6,129$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.9 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Nuggets | 5c | 5,981$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Nuggets | 5c | 5,898$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 3c | 5,896$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,828$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.13 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Nuggets | 2c | 5,600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 101 | 19.8%20 W · 81 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,495$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.6 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b0…9d9fbacked Hornets | 52c | 5,385$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Nuggets | 0c | 5,198$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hornets | 52c | 5,081$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.58 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 5,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,769$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.74 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Hornets | 42c | 4,765$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.66 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 12c | 4,657$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Hornets | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,354$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Nuggets | 45c | 4,345$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.47 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets | 45c | 4,338$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.89 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…3a2cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 48c | 4,300$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,255$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.04 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…6191backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,199$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.61 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hornets | 49c | 4,180$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.77 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.