NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66bf87d0346ddd16ff96c9605a1089648fbcd39c1d1be3228d123cdd139ce1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 9,175$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…f80fbacked Over | 48c | 4,425$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…b9b7backed Over | 48c | 4,112$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f653backed Under | 51c | 4,033$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…1473backed Under | 52c | 3,947$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over | 53c | 3,775$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.75 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 3,749$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…5baabacked Over | 48c | 3,501$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…203abacked Over | 49c | 2,891$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…a080backed Over | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7a…9786backed Under | 52c | 2,621$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 2,580$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 2,225$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…ab56backed Under | 52c | 1,880$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,792$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…955bbacked Under | 52c | 1,624$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 3c | 1,265$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…e1efbacked Under | 52c | 921$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1996…9337backed Under | 52c | 752$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 627.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 51c | 473.3$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.92 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 64c | 216.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…0768backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Over | 55c | 181.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 175$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f8a2backed Over | 9c | 155.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…633cbacked Under | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…8991backed Under | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 109.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 92.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 56c | 91.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 45c | 80.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 74.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 70.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 43c | 50.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 55c | 46.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Under | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6124…9899backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 58c | 27.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 20.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…acf1backed Under | 59c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5this page
- Hornets vs. NuggetsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.