NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0df1e58458d57c85ba4d61a82472aa74d2b0a74e1ff955cfeca2a54e69e12cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 7,618$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.73 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 48c | 6,209$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.38 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 51c | 5,852$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,332$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa723…8db6backed Over | 49c | 4,233$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…96afbacked Over | 49c | 4,211$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…5de1backed Over | 49c | 4,021$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 3,332$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 2,774$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…1500backed Under | 51c | 2,680$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…b83abacked Over | 51c | 2,622$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…3c2cbacked Under | 49c | 2,622$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 2,515$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.96 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 2,201$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 2,062$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 2,006$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 1,826$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…5e50backed Under | 51c | 1,778$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,709$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…3717backed Under | 51c | 1,624$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…aa3bbacked Under | 51c | 1,586$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…113ebacked Under | 51c | 1,538$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 48c | 1,470$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…3643backed Under | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…ef7cbacked Under | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 43c | 867$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 864.23$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…8438backed Under | 51c | 811$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 730.43$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 55c | 726.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 48c | 580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 505.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 382.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 242.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 115.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 100.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…1b68backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…790abacked Under | 57c | 99.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…1bc7backed Over | 48c | 40.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 38.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Over | 45c | 31.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 58c | 27.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 51c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5this page
- Hornets vs. NuggetsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.