NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f500a221b5b719581374774579382c92bfe4a89fffd5fed2034537f4122b779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 23,613$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,553.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 13,538$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.67 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 9,174$4,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 49c | 6,735$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 53c | 6,659$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.77 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 6,552$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.84 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 53c | 5,953$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.77 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 53c | 5,917$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.98 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Under | 53c | 4,571$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 54c | 3,778$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.78 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 3,177$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 2,548$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.52 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,096$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 2,025$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.25 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,982$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Under | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.55 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 54c | 1,648$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.15 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 47c | 1,345$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.15 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 43c | 1,169$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.64 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 1,071$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 60c | 999.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 864.18$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.16 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 49c | 386.6$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 232.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…e95fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 197.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 143.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 47c | 142.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 52c | 128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…b344backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 53c | 120.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 52c | 113.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 11c | 89.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…abdabacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 65.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 49c | 51.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…7899backed Over | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…9ae7backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 53c | 48.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…6a59backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 54c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…7ea8backed Over | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Over | 49c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5this page
- Hornets vs. NuggetsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.