TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89da…a6c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$844.97
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$882.55
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$195.81
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$93.2
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$112.04
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$123.04
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$246.07
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$152.03
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.59
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$170.91
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$259.43
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$116.25
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.37
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27.26
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$94.61
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$125.63
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40.62
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.73
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43.22
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.91
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$184.47
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.35
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-77.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+211.7%+$351.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$571.61
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,634.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,224
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tuco Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.