NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4e08269ebbca69760a7d11d2b730f5612df6b95a80a83679255b4e6f899351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 43,233$21,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,987.31 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 50c | 40,000$19,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,143.63 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 56c | 31,298$17,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,526.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 48c | 25,000$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,049.96 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 24,008$12,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,004.18 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 49c | 19,000$9,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,620 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 17,351$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,196.03 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under | 53c | 15,824$8,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,386.68 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Over | 44c | 13,060$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 11,622$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…5b0abacked Under | 50c | 9,482$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 48c | 8,824$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.17 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 50c | 8,022$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.59 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 7,299$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 54c | 6,780$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.36 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a15…dbacbacked Under | 55c | 5,997$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 5,417$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.29 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 5,399$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.97 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 49c | 5,005$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.6 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Under | 57c | 4,600$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 3,907$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.28 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 3,652$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 45c | 3,373$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 52c | 3,228$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.45 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 48c | 2,949$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.91 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 2,869$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.33 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 2,771$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.97 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 45c | 2,582$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 2,412$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 2,050$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 50c | 1,983$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,804$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.35 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…2b50backed Under | 50c | 1,714$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Over | 48c | 1,698$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.55 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 57c | 1,565$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Over | 49c | 1,257$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.86 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Over | 48c | 1,181$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.67 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 50c | 1,108$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.69 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 1,018$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.19 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.21 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 51c | 1,013$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6783backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…000cbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 948.09$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 929.26$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.23 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 57c | 916.35$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9725backed Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 47c | 842.55$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.55 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 840.06$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.43 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 48c | 831.81$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.19 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Under | 55c | 776.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.34 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 49c | 612.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.27 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Over | 49c | 597.24$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 71c | 563.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 51c | 539.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 46c | 477.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 434.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 431.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaf…20c0backed Over | 49c | 406.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 49c | 400.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Over | 45c | 399.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 47c | 380.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 368$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 355.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 51c | 318.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Over | 51c | 305.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…90a1backed Over | 48c | 300.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 48c | 295.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 51c | 261.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.