TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers40c403.49$161 inWon+$242.0917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Pistons60c328.34$198 inLost-$1983756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cavaliers40c271.67$110 inWon+$161.6721950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers36c264.98$97 inWon+$168.421,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons51c200$102 inLost-$1021,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fab…14a3backed Cavaliers49c200$98 inWon+$102475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+116%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Pistons60c200$120 inLost-$12015044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Cavaliers51c142.22$73 inWon+$69.075646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers57c141.13$80 inWon+$61.1330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Cavaliers41c134.15$55 inWon+$79.1526545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons59c126.63$75 inLost-$74.7150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Pistons41c121.95$50 inLost-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers39c115.2$45 inWon+$69.9869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers40c109.97$44 inWon+$65.9862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Pistons58c107.16$62 inLost-$62.2222844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Pistons60c102$61 inLost-$61.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Pistons45c100$45 inLost-$452035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers40c100$40 inWon+$601,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Pistons47c80$38 inLost-$37.983836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Cavaliers40c61.35$25 inWon+$36.813154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons26c50.52$13 inLost-$13.0961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Pistons58c50.02$29 inLost-$28.8131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed Pistons53c48.26$26 inLost-$25.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Pistons57c43.8$25 inLost-$24.918843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Cavaliers41c43.23$18 inWon+$25.4136247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers41c40.94$17 inWon+$24.0376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers74c32.07$24 inWon+$8.421,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Cavaliers41c26.61$11 inWon+$15.711424.6%28 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Pistons61c19.44$12 inLost-$11.863148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.