TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,739,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,790,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,739,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c424,615$208,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,450.3464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under53c230,879$122,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,365.9515644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c227,549$112,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,403.4269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Under52c200,802$104,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,417.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over51c194,576$98,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,169.310448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over47c174,856$82,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,679.063240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c169,903$88,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,349.3320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over48c163,821$78,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,186.8929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under49c123,212$60,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,373.9826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c122,897$62,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,677.3632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over48c48,250$23,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,09016039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c45,887$22,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,462.5185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c40,229$20,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,966.691,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c40,095$20,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,849.6414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,4003844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over50c36,259$18,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,954.4734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over48c28,951$13,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,054.527650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under49c27,520$13,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,464.7156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Under52c25,889$13,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,555.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9911333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9811654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f8…8ea0backed Under53c17,977$9,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,527.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c17,788$8,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,218.5548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under53c15,220$8,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,066.5419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80017249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…702bbacked Over48c14,717$7,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,652.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c10,510$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c10,290$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under7c10,157$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.172,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c8,799$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c8,561$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.0318445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c8,511$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.8347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c8,387$4,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.6163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over54c8,200$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7726045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over50c8,008$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.8448845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c7,981$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over49c7,040$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,62020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under47c6,800$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.0410049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over48c5,888$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.7629748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over48c5,625$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92518349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c5,508$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.169447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over49c5,466$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under25c5,455$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.645829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c5,069$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.062,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c5,004$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c4,824$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.4314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under54c4,744$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.7232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c4,544$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.1165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed Over50c4,120$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over48c4,071$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.665655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over49c3,853$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.063345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over53c3,756$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.1152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c3,613$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.5886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over48c3,568$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.371,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under52c3,545$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.436152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Under48c3,526$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.441060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c3,275$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Over51c3,130$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2221943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,770$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over50c2,512$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.676448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over48c2,499$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.6943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over51c2,309$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.783275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over44c2,268$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.4311034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Over53c2,128$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.162850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over48c2,060$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.2728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over76c2,050$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.53767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under52c2,036$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.713836.8%14 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over59c2,035$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.911558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over49c2,020$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.411540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over49c2,007$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.7813441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c1,976$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.0338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over48c1,930$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under48c1,887$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.1417247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under52c1,798$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.911936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Under52c1,765$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9183256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over49c1,700$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87411757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over50c1,681$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.7410556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Under48c1,570$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.591030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over48c1,549$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.3765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c1,305$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.541,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over73c1,280$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c1,271$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over51c1,270$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over49c1,244$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.6544052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under52c1,240$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.5811242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62432957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.982171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4719741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under51c1,166$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8613161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over49c1,154$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.4814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.857349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.