NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3380932b070a9001461fb4840196662a6a26d9240c2e43e8dfb6643a99b5b03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,739,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,790,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,739,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 424,615$208,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,450.34 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 53c | 230,879$122,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,365.95 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 227,549$112,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,403.42 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Under | 52c | 200,802$104,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,417.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 51c | 194,576$98,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,169.3 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 174,856$82,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,679.06 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 169,903$88,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,349.33 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 163,821$78,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,186.89 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 123,212$60,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,373.98 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 122,897$62,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,677.36 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 48c | 48,250$23,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,090 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 45,887$22,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,462.51 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 40,229$20,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,966.69 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 52c | 40,095$20,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,849.64 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 50c | 36,259$18,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,954.47 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 28,951$13,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,054.52 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 49c | 27,520$13,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,464.71 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Under | 52c | 25,889$13,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,555.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.98 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Under | 53c | 17,977$9,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,527.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 48c | 17,788$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,218.55 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 15,220$8,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,066.54 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…702bbacked Over | 48c | 14,717$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,652.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 10,510$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 10,290$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 7c | 10,157$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 8,799$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.6 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 8,561$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.03 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.83 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 8,387$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.61 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 54c | 8,200$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 50c | 8,008$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.84 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 7,981$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 49c | 7,040$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 47c | 6,800$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.04 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 5,888$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.76 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 49c | 5,508$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.16 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 5,466$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 25c | 5,455$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.64 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 5,069$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 50c | 5,004$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 49c | 4,824$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.43 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 54c | 4,744$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.72 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 4,544$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.11 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Over | 50c | 4,120$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 48c | 4,071$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.66 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Over | 49c | 3,853$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 53c | 3,756$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.11 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 49c | 3,613$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.58 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 3,568$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.37 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 52c | 3,545$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.43 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Under | 48c | 3,526$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 3,275$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Over | 51c | 3,130$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,770$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.93 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 50c | 2,512$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.67 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 48c | 2,499$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.69 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 51c | 2,309$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.78 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 44c | 2,268$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.43 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.27 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 76c | 2,050$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 52c | 2,036$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 59c | 2,035$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.9 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Over | 49c | 2,007$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.78 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 48c | 1,976$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.03 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 48c | 1,887$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.14 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 52c | 1,798$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Under | 52c | 1,765$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 49c | 1,700$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Over | 50c | 1,681$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.74 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Under | 48c | 1,570$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 48c | 1,549$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.37 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 1,305$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.54 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 1,280$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 1,271$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 51c | 1,270$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 49c | 1,244$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.65 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 52c | 1,240$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.58 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.98 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.86 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 49c | 1,154$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.48 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.