NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402261075dfe2dcec3f7eecc284c841a48e901f81b5af657c3171b616e7badcb

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,076 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	45c	15,763$7,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,625.69	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Pistons	58c	9,300$5,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,394	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	42c	8,070$3,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,654.39	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	55c	4,768$2,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,619.13	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	51c	4,017$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,058.83	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	57c	3,366$1,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,918.79	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	42c	2,794$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620.64	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Pistons	58c	2,586$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pistons	52c	2,007$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.09	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Pistons	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Cavaliers	42c	2,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Pistons	58c	1,489$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.62	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Pistons	58c	1,434$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,415$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.63	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers	42c	1,145$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.14	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons	11c	1,065$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.19	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Cavaliers	42c	1,048$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.7	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons	27c	949.94$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.11	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons	58c	862.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Cavaliers	42c	800.43$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.25	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers	43c	768.09$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.81	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	60c	755$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.45	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Pistons	18c	706.08$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.11	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons	31c	687$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.34	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Cavaliers	66c	611$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.74	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Pistons	58c	595.22$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.23	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers	42c	512.16$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.05	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5c…f951backed Pistons	58c	508.62$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers	65c	461.53$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.66	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	42c	453$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.74	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Pistons	17c	451.7$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons	38c	352.72$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.36	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	47c	348.32$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.7	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers	73c	328.77$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.77	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers	42c	308.72$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.06	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons	27c	286.09$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.87	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Cavaliers	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pistons	58c	232.76$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Pistons	58c	204$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.32	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Pistons	57c	199.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Pistons	58c	189.66$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Cavaliers	44c	186.97$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.95	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	60c	185$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers	42c	177.42$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.9	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Pistons	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons	23c	164.69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers	42c	153.29$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.91	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Pistons	46c	144.74$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	471	34.2%161 W · 310 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Cavaliers	48c	142$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.84	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Cavaliers	44c	140$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.4	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Cavaliers	43c	139.53$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.53	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Pistons	58c	137.93$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	271	62.4%169 W · 102 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons	50c	132$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.16	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers	64c	128$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Pistons	58c	127.59$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Pistons	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Pistons	58c	109.64$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.59	112	58.9%66 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Pistons	57c	103.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.73	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Pistons	14c	102.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54b0…b1eebacked Pistons	58c	94.83$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cavaliers	61c	90$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.89	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Pistons	23c	87.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Pistons	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	346	61.6%213 W · 133 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7913…f3e2backed Pistons	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…514cbacked Pistons	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-4.2wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3043…c086backed Pistons	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcda…ee95backed Pistons	57c	85.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2c5abacked Cavaliers	42c	70$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.6	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Cavaliers	64c	67.34$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Pistons	59c	59.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	75	61.3%46 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers	42c	57.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.45	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Pistons	58c	57.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Pistons	58c	56.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2796…2aedbacked Pistons	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Pistons	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Pistons	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Cavaliers	43c	49.93$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.46	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Pistons	53c	49.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Cavaliers	42c	47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Cavaliers	64c	45.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.31	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Pistons	58c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Cavaliers	64c	37.03$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x485c…c6b3backed Pistons	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Pistons	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Cavaliers	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	215	74.4%160 W · 55 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	70cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee5e…e619backed Pistons	57c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Cavaliers	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Cavaliers	51c	28.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.91	193	60.1%116 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Pistons	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	130	57.7%75 W · 55 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Pistons	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c9…641fbacked Pistons	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3f…13bbbacked Pistons	58c	25.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Pistons	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa150…44ebbacked Cavaliers	43c	24.76$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.16	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Pistons	58c	23.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	157	53.5%84 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers	73c	23.57$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.36	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Cavaliers	43c	23.52$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.41	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2aa…3e28backed Pistons	58c	20.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event