NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaaef5e76cf86f49b392e122d4b14e6a6677a65cb45af9a94b81fa5205223356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 35c | 299,999$105,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,999.79 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 65c | 90,416$58,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,548.95 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 66c | 63,851$42,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,744.13 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 64c | 39,750$25,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,307 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 23,454$14,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,951.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Over | 66c | 16,716$11,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.61 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 66c | 15,589$10,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 64c | 10,511$6,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 64c | 8,517$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.16 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 66c | 6,364$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.64 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 40c | 3,043$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.95 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 64c | 2,006$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.8 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 43c | 2,000$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.15 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 67c | 1,922$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.26 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 38c | 1,730$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.25 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 66c | 1,667$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 22c | 1,636$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.36 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 76c | 1,395$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 63c | 1,370$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 76c | 1,319$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 66c | 1,195$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 44c | 1,130$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.43 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 66c | 1,102$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 66c | 1,087$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.32 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 76c | 1,071$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 36c | 1,066$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.61 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.92 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 1,001$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.9 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 58c | 812.7$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.37 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 64c | 773.42$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.43 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 64c | 710.35$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.91 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 62c | 697.35$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 64c | 624.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 8c | 563$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 64c | 555$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 67c | 527.17$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Over | 65c | 482.07$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 60c | 478.33$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 64c | 464.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 64c | 447.76$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ed3dbacked Under | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Over | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Over | 64c | 388.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 6c | 386.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 60c | 336.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Over | 66c | 302.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 301$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 10c | 249.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 63c | 245.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Over | 66c | 226.03$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 40c | 203.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…b971backed Under | 17c | 174.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 43c | 161.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 64c | 159$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda3…659bbacked Over | 59c | 151.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 66c | 151.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 56c | 148.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Under | 62c | 142.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 14c | 139.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Over | 66c | 124.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 54c | 120.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 64c | 118.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 17c | 116.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 66c | 116.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…aa46backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Under | 70c | 96.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 64c | 95.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Under | 63c | 90.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 57c | 88.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Under | 63c | 83.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 83.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked Under | 55c | 79.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 55c | 78.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 59c | 76.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 54c | 71.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 66c | 70.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 66c | 69.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Over | 66c | 69.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 65c | 66.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 63c | 65.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 65.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 59c | 58.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.