NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b17e53d9eb0d2f9914a68bf0cbc836bf22d78b5e3f5c0ed50d3f0ab4d3bcb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 32c | 9,108$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,157.74 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 32c | 8,471$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.04 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 53c | 5,383$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.15 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,903$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 29c | 3,499$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.47 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 70c | 2,851$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.41 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Under | 75c | 2,649$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 2,570$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 66c | 2,496$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.84 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 1c | 2,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 1c | 2,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 52c | 2,160$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.49 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 70c | 2,067$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.88 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Under | 44c | 2,058$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 54c | 2,027$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.34 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 2,009$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.89 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 24c | 2,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.97 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,830$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,830$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 1,585$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.94 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 21c | 1,426$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 55c | 1,264$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.79 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,250$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 28c | 1,149$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 11c | 1,104$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 11c | 1,052$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.93 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 37c | 1,008$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.88 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 21c | 965.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 48c | 938.64$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.55 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 22c | 900$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 68c | 885.49$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.13 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 76c | 785.3$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.51 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 38c | 777.15$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 56c | 755.66$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 10c | 713.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Under | 22c | 546.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 5c | 542$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 74c | 517.02$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Under | 50c | 508.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Under | 75c | 500.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 56c | 491.12$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 78c | 458.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 453$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Under | 56c | 452.61$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 28c | 432.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 74c | 405.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 399.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Over | 52c | 397.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Under | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 28c | 363.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…27a3backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 70c | 323$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 45c | 267.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 72c | 254.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 61c | 254.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under | 52c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Under | 51c | 189.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 27c | 175.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 72c | 169.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 72c | 169.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 69c | 167.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 69c | 162.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 23c | 149.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Under | 29c | 147.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 71c | 141.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 20c | 134.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Under | 51c | 131.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 23c | 130.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 74c | 125.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Over | 76c | 120.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 51c | 117.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 70c | 114.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Under | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 77c | 110.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.