TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes53c4,462$2,373 inLost-$2,373.2120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No46c2,940$1,344 inWon+$1,596.342,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No48c2,321$1,124 inWon+$1,196.481,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes53c2,051$1,089 inLost-$1,088.752263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No47c1,274$600 inWon+$673.8627746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906b…9805backed Yes54c911.05$492 inLost-$491.832842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No47c889.72$418 inWon+$471.5513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Yes53c722.88$380 inLost-$38010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed No47c319.15$150 inWon+$169.158342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No46c189.58$87 inWon+$103.0643752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No46c165.95$76 inWon+$89.6185449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Yes51c137.25$70 inLost-$704360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes60c132.58$79 inLost-$79.3710246.1%47 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed No47c127.66$60 inWon+$67.669555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No40c114.58$46 inWon+$68.7576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes51c105.88$54 inLost-$5410351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes47c97.56$46 inLost-$45.8636453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed No53c93.21$49 inWon+$44.2121843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes51c92.16$47 inLost-$472231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No47c75$35 inWon+$39.7544747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No46c64.06$29 inWon+$34.5919352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No46c62.36$29 inWon+$33.6790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No49c58.8$29 inWon+$29.7218853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed No52c57.56$30 inWon+$27.5634661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Yes56c53.2$30 inLost-$305750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No47c53.19$25 inWon+$28.1966046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked No47c42.55$20 inWon+$22.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No44c41.82$18 inWon+$23.4733049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes48c40$19 inLost-$19.213764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Yes48c40$19 inLost-$19.213539.3%53 W · 82 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost-$2017748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost-$2027539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No47c29.99$14 inWon+$15.941050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No45c25.04$11 inWon+$13.7749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.