NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e03250cdfe0df6507494c1f9f22136383d685102a1da4555b8b2d251a58102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 69c | 93,300$64,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,820.61 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 32c | 25,341$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.38 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 34c | 23,042$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.96 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Under | 30c | 15,672$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 30c | 14,010$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.89 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 31c | 12,368$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.29 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Under | 32c | 9,954$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 67c | 9,706$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 71c | 7,901$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.36 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 34c | 7,707$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 52c | 7,596$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.97 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…afb8backed Over | 68c | 6,651$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 67c | 4,200$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.4 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 4,009$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 48c | 3,940$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.69 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 28c | 3,641$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.36 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Under | 32c | 3,586$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 3,292$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.09 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 65c | 3,172$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.2 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 34c | 3,060$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.39 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Over | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 2,989$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.67 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 72c | 2,787$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 71c | 2,782$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.69 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Over | 69c | 2,703$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 2,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 31c | 2,498$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.34 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 30c | 2,300$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 35c | 2,042$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.84 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 29c | 1,751$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.98 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 25c | 1,731$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.07 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Over | 68c | 1,719$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.14 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 71c | 1,568$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.09 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,455$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 30c | 1,280$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 28c | 1,209$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.44 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Over | 68c | 1,178$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 1,110$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.75 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 68c | 1,081$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…b439backed Over | 66c | 1,065$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…c822backed Under | 30c | 1,010$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 29c | 976.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Over | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 70c | 900$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 73c | 900$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 11c | 836$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 29c | 826.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over | 66c | 810$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8362backed Over | 54c | 789$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 69c | 780.54$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…9603backed Over | 71c | 756.51$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 30c | 736$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 68c | 729.62$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 70c | 718.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 71c | 703.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 66c | 612.12$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 32c | 600.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 596.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…044cbacked Over | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 31c | 549.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Over | 68c | 531.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…41b0backed Over | 71c | 528.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Over | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Over | 80c | 499.59$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 69c | 462.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…06bebacked Over | 70c | 447.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Over | 67c | 444$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 31c | 418.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Over | 51c | 411.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda3…659bbacked Under | 50c | 367.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Under | 26c | 366.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 36c | 343.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over | 61c | 328.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 69c | 304.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 300.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 31c | 290.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Under | 30c | 286.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 32c | 285.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…4fb2backed Over | 69c | 280.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 35c | 276.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 31c | 268$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Over | 66c | 256.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Under | 34c | 245.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 68c | 239.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked Over | 69c | 222.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 67c | 210.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Under | 33c | 206.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.