TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb88…41b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT13857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$162.82
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$17.93
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$88.08
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.53
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$62.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.79
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.71
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$177
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.72
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$153.19
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$70
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.92
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.7
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$80.71
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$211.86
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.38
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$35.77
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$394.12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,349.3%+$674.64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+222.6%+$84.58
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$56.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+70%+$41.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$57.98
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+39.6%+$26.92
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$133
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$157.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.