Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348049640907e6888bc4113a473f83a74512611b7b359f077b487c4e92df4eb6

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,347,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $805,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,347,116 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	29c	51,960$15,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,064.65	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	40c	29,500$11,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,926.18	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	47c	28,995$13,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,472.02	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	31c	28,923$8,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,906.09	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	15c	28,467$4,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,375.4	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	30c	24,493$7,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,333.39	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	13c	24,195$3,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,207.89	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	23,140$1,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.14	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	22,059$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.35	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	0c	17,897$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes	17c	16,941$2,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,941.41	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	18c	13,998$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,474.27	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	50c	13,959$7,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,915.05	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	3c	13,801$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.23	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	8c	13,643$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.05	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	23c	10,816$2,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,471.24	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	6c	9,724$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.75	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	23c	9,561$2,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,178.11	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	12c	8,884$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.51	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	8,689$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.81	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	9c	8,081$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	77c	7,502$5,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,728.34	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	11c	7,237$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.77	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	7c	7,232$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.25	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	14c	7,220$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.01	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	7,029$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.55	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	7,000$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.54	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	36c	6,700$2,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,406.17	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	22c	6,635$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.96	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	13c	6,629$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.15	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	26c	6,620$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.13	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	6,500$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.52	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	21c	6,259$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.61	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	6,064$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	6,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.22	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	6,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	13c	5,951$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.45	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	29c	5,869$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.06	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	5,674$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.96	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	17c	5,592$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.23	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	5,487$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.48	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	17c	5,028$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.56	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	18c	4,713$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.18	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf863…391cbacked No	79c	4,680$3,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	6c	4,648$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.83	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	18c	4,602$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.36	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	18c	4,558$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.26	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	15c	4,530$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.97	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	4,512$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.86	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	2c	4,505$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	27c	4,406$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.69	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	15c	4,236$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.37	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	4,024$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	19c	3,962$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.06	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165e…e5e8backed No	79c	3,900$3,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	8c	3,893$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.82	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	20c	3,611$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.79	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	15c	3,505$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.23	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	3,500$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	3,363$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.67	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	12c	3,220$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.44	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe209…d43cbacked No	77c	3,209$2,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…5501backed Yes	63c	3,145$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.77	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	12c	3,140$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.9	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	14c	3,068$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.03	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	6c	3,053$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.18	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	3,041$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.14	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	3,000$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.04	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	4c	2,853$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	20c	2,762$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.95	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	13c	2,744$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.96	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b7…227bbacked No	74c	2,727$2,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.23	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,721$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	2,646$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.4	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	2,579$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb9…a2b2backed Yes	10c	2,545$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.4	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Yes	40c	2,531$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.49	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	11c	2,454$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	4c	2,440$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	65c	2,400$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	42c	2,385$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.82	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	15c	2,378$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.74	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	2c	2,355$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	13c	2,346$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…5766backed Yes	1c	2,345$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	10c	2,335$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.37	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked No	65c	2,106$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.13	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked Yes	39c	2,098$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.4	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	75c	2,092$1,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.37	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	8c	2,077$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	10c	2,045$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.56	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes	44c	2,024$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.63	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	12c	2,010$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.1	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	4c	2,006$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.37	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a65…ecdfbacked Yes	3c	2,003$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.67	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event