TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1941…9ff3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT5512.7%7 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,280.71
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.98
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.94
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+109.6%+$39.53
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.32
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75.28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$72.74
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60.11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49.84
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+377.1%+$76.93
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$39.41
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Al Ahli (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Al Ahli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked maybe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$58.62
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40.22
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.32
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+247%+$49.41
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.34
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$63.12
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+81.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$116.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$131.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$104.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.65
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$184.36
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+769.7%+$423.33
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$158.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$9.8
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$15.62
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$70.42
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Fennel vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-60.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.89
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wales win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+212.5%+$42.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.79
Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.