Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972114f9194653bcad94a6e57befbcce9192f68194e2e7ff0c679d040d180808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $621,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $621,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 17c | 100,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,999.95 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 57,884$20,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,208.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 16c | 35,269$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,687.77 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 72c | 33,622$24,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,150.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 29,275$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,466.92 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 19,992$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,473.23 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 36c | 18,771$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,007.64 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 18,720$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,304.39 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 15c | 14,898$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,663.57 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 66c | 14,737$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.83 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 13,032$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,943.57 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 53c | 7,537$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.38 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 58c | 7,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 15c | 6,309$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.61 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 54c | 5,100$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.66 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 48c | 4,953$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 44c | 4,771$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes | 67c | 4,481$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 4,479$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.29 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Yes | 49c | 4,107$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 37c | 4,002$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.11 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 3,842$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.93 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 73c | 3,652$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 60c | 3,325$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 16c | 2,813$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.72 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 15c | 2,776$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 69c | 2,644$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.37 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 49c | 2,596$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.5 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,577$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.67 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 15c | 2,400$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.97 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 16c | 2,360$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes | 79c | 1,664$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.22 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 76c | 1,221$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 16c | 1,191$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 48c | 1,164$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.53 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 65c | 1,082$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,026$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Yes | 53c | 1,026$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 17c | 999.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.93 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 17c | 982.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 976.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.79 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…84cebacked Yes | 61c | 976.18$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 68c | 967.06$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.88 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Yes | 62c | 967.04$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 59c | 927.81$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 46c | 877.6$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.77 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 61c | 856.87$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 846.9$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.78 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 17c | 814.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.1 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 53c | 777$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked No | 56c | 760.15$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 16c | 739.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.49 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 55c | 722.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 79c | 611.77$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 79c | 581.48$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.98 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 578.27$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.09 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked No | 75c | 554.76$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed No | 40c | 546.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 49c | 543.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 74c | 542.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…0703backed Yes | 66c | 536.85$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 57c | 535.42$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Yes | 58c | 527.87$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes | 64c | 493.28$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 16c | 483.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 69c | 472.19$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 15c | 471.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 47c | 455.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 64c | 424.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 45c | 416.4$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 69c | 414.32$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 73c | 409.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 44c | 406.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 51c | 392.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 51c | 390$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 387.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 67c | 362.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 38c | 356.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 16c | 349.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 61c | 348.78$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 334$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 65c | 331.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 44c | 300.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…0dd0backed Yes | 61c | 300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 58c | 289.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.