Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a0ac40855e9fd7068f1bead185397232a81f064f906514fb430353cf0ae0e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa117…a311backed Yes | 71c | 12,744$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 12,676$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.28 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 12,401$8,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,241.35 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 3,163$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.47 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 2,658$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 2,070$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.2 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed Yes | 11c | 1,983$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 43c | 1,847$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,846$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.11 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 1,762$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.8 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 32c | 1,575$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…2aacbacked Yes | 50c | 1,226$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +633.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 50c | 1,210$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 29c | 1,161$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.18 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 31c | 903.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 883.18$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.86 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 55c | 854.45$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 845.99$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.09 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 795.18$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked No | 75c | 758$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 749.46$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.2 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 67c | 699.48$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.17 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 669.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 42c | 573.73$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.62 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 36c | 500$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 32c | 435.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 25c | 430.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 28c | 416.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 45c | 346.72$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Yes | 74c | 338.88$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 337.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 326.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 31c | 316.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 80c | 250.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked Yes | 61c | 247.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Yes | 11c | 243.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 29c | 241.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…e2f4backed Yes | 47c | 240$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…2eafbacked Yes | 64c | 235.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 45c | 227.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes | 56c | 200.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…140ebacked Yes | 12c | 200.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…7859backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 80c | 194.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…791fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 34c | 169.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 55c | 167.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…01c8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 12c | 155.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 152.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…b326backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…0731backed Yes | 67c | 149.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 68c | 146.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…612abacked Yes | 71c | 143.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 43c | 134.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…ab83backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 66c | 125.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes | 31c | 113.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…2318backed Yes | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e43…6170backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 47c | 101.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 23c | 101.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 93.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 23c | 87.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…fe31backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?No won
- Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.