TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a2f…2318

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$645
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$341.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.62
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+411.6%+$246.95
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+591.9%+$236.77
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+32.5%+$144.52
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.43
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+55.7%+$6.39
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$7.1
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,765Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$557.52
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$220.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,883.77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+346.4%+$194
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$76.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.31
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$68.63
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+27.6%+$7.56
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50.13
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.56
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$40.86
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$38.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$16.88
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.9
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$93.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$101
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$79.63
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$333
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$777
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$117.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.8%+$184.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.