Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x426e1908b549e3171e552009ddf0744e91a8a1082cda093f3d1ccbb7dac14386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 36,539$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 0c | 33,663$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 75c | 6,541$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 6,426$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.7 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 4,957$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.36 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 26c | 4,319$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.83 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 63c | 3,808$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.92 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 63c | 3,547$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 2,916$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.02 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 10c | 2,710$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 2,547$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.04 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked No | 63c | 1,669$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed Yes | 37c | 1,667$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 1,629$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.23 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 1,562$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.18 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,425$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.38 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 63c | 1,250$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 65c | 1,000$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 988$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.04 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…2318backed Yes | 38c | 876.32$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 69c | 794.04$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed No | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 579.11$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 563.21$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 64c | 511.94$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 62c | 485$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 37c | 448.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 9c | 412.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 62c | 406$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 63c | 404.76$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 37c | 396.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 3c | 354$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 348$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 26c | 319.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 63c | 319.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 67c | 310.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 299.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 280.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 268.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 37c | 263.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 70c | 256$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 74c | 228.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 221.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 38c | 195.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 62c | 160.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 74c | 158.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked No | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…4c3ebacked No | 64c | 146.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked No | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 78c | 116.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 37c | 113.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 64c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 64c | 88.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…06f0backed Yes | 13c | 83.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…37fbbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked No | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked No | 64c | 73.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 70.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed No | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 37c | 56.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 61cpaid | +56%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 38c | 54.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed No | 64c | 54.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 61c | 53.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 63c | 52.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.