TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb0f…1ecd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT6844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Lightning vs. Wildbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$69.71
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$39.98
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.31
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$57.14
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.42
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.4%+$46.33
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62.16
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$53.7
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+166.2%+$90.64
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.8
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+80.9%+$22.8
Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST6756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$43.32
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.76
Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.34
Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.5%+$13.2
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+77%+$15.41
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.73
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$19.6
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+109.8%+$16.43
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.45
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.06
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.15
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+118.9%+$18.39
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.48
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.99
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.8%+$13.32
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.39
Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.75
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$77.28
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+102.3%+$52.19
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+50.8%+$9.69
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.6%+$11.31
Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.91
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60.89
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$59.89
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.7%+$25.07
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.63
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Sudan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+83.1%+$105.39
Will Nigeria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Senegal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+107.9%+$76.72
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.1%+$16.27
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.61
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52.26
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$43.84
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$12.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.18
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.33
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.8%+$17.92
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.74
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$9.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$7.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+79.4%+$13.5
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+72.4%+$68.51
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+222.6%+$24.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64%+$40.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.