La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c90b28c98dfed214c7022b19a123dd56740b78aa5da07ca29c72d167bd05a14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof Real Madrid CF, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 3,863$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.75 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 2,536$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Madrid CF | 43c | 2,323$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.08 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Real Madrid CF | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Real Madrid CF | 41c | 781.32$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 755$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Real Madrid CF | 40c | 683.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Real Madrid CF | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 389.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 378.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 374.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Real Madrid CF | 40c | 336.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8e6dbacked Real Madrid CF | 58c | 314.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Real Betis Balompié | 57c | 269.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 229.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Real Madrid CF | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 182.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 174.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 47c | 167.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Real Madrid CF | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Betis Balompié | 25c | 135.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Real Madrid CF | 42c | 118.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 105.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Real Madrid CF | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Real Madrid CF | 61c | 88.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Real Madrid CF | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid CF | 46c | 72.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Real Madrid CF | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Real Madrid CF | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Real Madrid CF | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid CF | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Real Betis Balompié | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Real Madrid CF | 57c | 54.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Real Madrid CF | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…8b7abacked Real Madrid CF | 44c | 51.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Real Betis Balompié | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Betis Balompié | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Real Madrid CF | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Real Madrid CF | 57c | 46.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Real Madrid CF | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…1006backed Real Betis Balompié | 38c | 36.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Real Madrid CF | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Real Betis Balompié | 61c | 34.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Real Madrid CF | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…74c7backed Real Betis Balompié | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Real Madrid CF | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Real Betis Balompié | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Real Betis Balompié | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Real Betis Balompié | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Real Betis Balompié | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.