La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21969d1e9e945007a51750fd77ff04c95679d845262ba3dc1be58b21e7ac5aed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,271$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 59c | 1,435$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.42 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 42c | 1,095$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.89 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Yes | 61c | 951.5$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Yes | 62c | 704.67$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 666.29$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 566.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 58c | 333.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…c62bbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…afabbacked Yes | 61c | 208.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 206.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 196.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 59c | 192.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 60c | 183.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…17aebacked Yes | 59c | 168.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 46c | 142.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Yes | 58c | 131.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 60c | 120.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 62c | 97.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 39c | 96.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 79c | 86.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 61c | 75.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…1839backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c56…80debacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…9b54backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 57c | 35.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6166…d558backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c44…c88abacked Yes | 60c | 23.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…dbfdbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 58c | 18.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…7e03backed Yes | 63c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.