TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe900…7937

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.18
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.09
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$22.62
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.97
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Preston North End FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29.12
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.85
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.51
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+80.4%+$20.09
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.