Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x842bd8ac9d46ff81671786a10899b57ab79871a8a33ae867bdd4037885fa33cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 79,320$60,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,337.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 72,937$15,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,364.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 53c | 6,209$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.98 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 53c | 4,593$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 52c | 1,749$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.39 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 38c | 891.12$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 72c | 888.89$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 47c | 808.4$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.45 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 47c | 791.35$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.42 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 50c | 735.66$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.89 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 25c | 720.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 674.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 48c | 547.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.84 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 528$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 47c | 406.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed No | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…c5b4backed Yes | 53c | 307.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 286.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 221.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 30c | 210.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…e95fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 55c | 178.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 45c | 165.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 28c | 148.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 53c | 142.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 26c | 127.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 106.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Yes | 21c | 103.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -7.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…1124backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 97.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 71c | 87.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 75c | 81.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 13c | 79.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…667ebacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 64c | 70.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes | 22c | 50.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 47c | 50.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 48.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 51c | 42.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 66c | 42.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…9908backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…8780backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked No | 49c | 37.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a4b5backed Yes | 35c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed No | 48c | 33.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…93e1backed No | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…dcd9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 47c | 29.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 26.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 49c | 25.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…032cbacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…3508backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.