Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff916b7d6a96b4e2a3b314e00845b7ad17f0df07300750545ecb69a492d7919f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 75c | 7,350$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.5 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Over | 9c | 7,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 77c | 2,165$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…cc49backed Over | 31c | 1,608$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 31c | 1,499$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.69 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 27c | 1,249$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.12 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 30c | 1,122$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Under | 77c | 958.19$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 813.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 31c | 232.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 71c | 141.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 31c | 129.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 69c | 124.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 70c | 121.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Over | 21c | 92.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 71c | 78.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 75.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 19c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…9247backed Over | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d0…a111backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…f840backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Under | 76c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.