TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c22,427$9,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,563.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under51c2,954$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.864367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,506$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over77c2,350$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.54881.3%39 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c2,284$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.344,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over51c1,560$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.9911142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over76c1,407$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.544264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.15058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over52c1,021$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over43c999.96$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.988919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over46c999.78$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.93928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd7b…9910backed Over50c940$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under49c925.22$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3143241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over78c839.59$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.445461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c828.4$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.232,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under24c800$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60829427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Under45c792.82$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.092347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd72c…3febbacked Over54c662.48$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under24c613.28$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9122229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over57c567.51$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.532532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over36c531.04$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over51c484.71$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2474134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c475.83$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.551,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under74c405.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3316753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2089244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over52c371.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c358.8$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1917161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over51c323.14$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.733545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c306.53$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0330059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c302.02$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.979550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over59c296.63$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.994738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee39…59bfbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a7…d0febacked Over51c264.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over59c252.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.086462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under43c249.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1629041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over50c244.02$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.011631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over58c236.16$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.554247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x651e…b67bbacked Over77c225.43$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c213.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.711,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Over47c208$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15615060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over49c179.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.987829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over51c175.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over50c167.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.555935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.674136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over56c150.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over71c141.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc304…2c49backed Over54c141$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over60c133.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.853342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Under58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+174.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Over77c115.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.61258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c102.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc30…6046backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa536…83e7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…ce19backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Over50c95.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over63c94.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.76735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7fb…5623backed Under59c90.57$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1419853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under46c75.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0514…4fefbacked Under46c73.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over15c72.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95bd…0c7ebacked Over74c72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…7e29backed Over50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over50c71.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.972839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Over50c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over38c65.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa6…3b1dbacked Over61c61.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Under24c60.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.926232.3%20 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.37751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2c…9af4backed Over56c53.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over43c50.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.774829.2%14 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under45c50.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.