TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7fb…5623

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$114.9
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.44
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.69
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.49
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.63
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.7%+$6.92
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+70.1%+$37.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63.1%+$15.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+34.4%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$20.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.