TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,193,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,207,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under54c530,027$286,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286,670.820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over46c464,347$213,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,747.441,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Under54c232,217$124,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,954.1819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under54c185,578$100,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,212.1222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under54c80,000$43,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,199.9548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over47c65,000$30,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,449.983243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over46c52,748$24,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,484.0626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c45,536$20,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,846.7239047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c42,812$19,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,118.2356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over46c20,500$9,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0702540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Over46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8005364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c17,500$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed Under54c15,000$8,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over47c14,511$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,710.518848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over47c11,023$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.784358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over45c10,040$4,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.148354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4006653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4008650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over46c9,999$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.4613363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Over46c9,146$4,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,938.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Over46c7,500$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0506737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over46c6,475$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.496949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c4,674$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.4893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over48c4,018$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.4416241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over46c3,374$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.914045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c3,323$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.262,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c3,115$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.891,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c3,064$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.52,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under52c2,628$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.564148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over46c2,600$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over24c2,358$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over46c2,322$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.6717057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c1,980$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.9858352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over39c1,903$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.761,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over45c1,820$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00111745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.431,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.173458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over46c1,436$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8133154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over21c1,422$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.711,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.65752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over46c1,163$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7512947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over26c1,162$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.392,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8331848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over47c1,055$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.279157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6743743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over47c1,037$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6214753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under55c1,001$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5533345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46826547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked Under54c722.22$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over45c696.52$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0928847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over47c640.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.018245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.37149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over46c608.7$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.71,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32462346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c599.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over47c570$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.610860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over46c542$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6811435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over46c527.48$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8411855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over27c520.49$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.0326657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26532451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Over46c489.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over19c482.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.7133735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over32c476.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.612,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over46c470$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.87157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over47c464$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Over47c462$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.863852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over45c444.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4636852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c444$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7820655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7853050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over21c428.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6915354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over48c419.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5148552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2224…85cebacked Under55c417.51$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over26c413.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2318262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over46c404.35$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.357745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f7…a185backed Under40c371.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over47c365.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.236960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over47c361.74$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8318551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c357.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over47c349.11$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.035242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d75…bd1fbacked Under74c336.48$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over47c323.6$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9628549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over47c321.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.465959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1524847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over28c314.17$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c310.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8316254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c305.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9712548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.