NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e40cbcab65eb5790c0443cc767501913ccc3129e1eb9812a172ce6deb2979e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Panthers, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers | 37c | 999.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…a793backed Panthers | 36c | 795.36$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 64c | 633.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Panthers | 34c | 440.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Utah | 66c | 363.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 63c | 348.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Utah | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah | 64c | 294.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Utah | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Utah | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Utah | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Panthers | 36c | 164.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Panthers | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked Panthers | 65c | 125.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 11c | 115.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 65c | 100.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Panthers | 37c | 99.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Utah | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Utah | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 64c | 79.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Panthers | 36c | 75.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Panthers | 35c | 56.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Panthers | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Utah | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Utah | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Utah | 62c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Panthers | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Utah | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Utah | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9051backed Panthers | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Panthers | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panthers | 36c | 38.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Utah | 63c | 33.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…b17ebacked Utah | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Utah | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Utah | 63c | 28.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 61c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…3b00backed Utah | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Utah | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. PanthersUtah won
- Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.